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The issues of predictive justice in some foreign countries are examined, the models of the USA, Germany and France are compared, their regulatory «red lines» (banning the profiling of judges; restrictions on closed risk scoring; priority of judicial independence and procedural justice) are fixed, and also the European regulatory context (qualification of the application of AI in the field of justice as high risk) are revealed. Based on a comparative analysis, a roadmap for the introduction of predictive tools in Russia is proposed: from «weak» (auxiliary) use for organizational and research tasks to limited modes of recommendation systems with mandatory procedural guarantees, algorithmic auditing and the prohibition of personal profiling of judges and «automation of discretion».
predictive justice, legal analytics, risk assessment, algorithmic transparency, judicial independence, open data of court decisions, COMPAS, Article 33 (France), EU AI Act, Russian judicial digitalization
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